Best Picture: The Town
I must admit, I have yet to see this film. But I didn't hear a single bad thing about it, and it was THE front-runner just three months ago. My guess as to why it was overlooked: the most generic movie title ever (quite honestly, the generic title is part of what kept me from seeing it).
Do I think Ryan would have actually taken the statue if he had been nominated? No, it is CLEARLY Colin Firth's year (and having finally seen The King's Speech despite my aversion to costume dramas about royalty, I can tell you that his performance is phenomenal). But Ryan's performance is more deserving of a slot than Jesse Eisenberg's. That's not to say that Jesse is bad in The Social Network (he's great, actually); it just speaks to how fantastic Ryan is in Blue Valentine (I'll even go as far as saying he deserves a nomination more than Michelle Williams does for the same film).
To find out who else blogger bigbowood thinks got snubbed, just read more